Saturday Update: Sony’s Venom held its ground on Friday, retaking first place after a brief concession on Thursday. The hit antihero comic pic added $9.785 million yesterday, bringing its eight-day domestic haul to $116.9 million. Projections for the weekend have swayed back in its favor with what is expected to be a sophomore frame around $32 million or slightly higher, withstanding its loss of IMAX screens in generally healthy fashion.
Its primary competition, A Star Is Born posted another excellent hold — easing just 46 percent from opening day last week to $8.5 million on Friday. The film continues its impressive run with an updated tally of $74.66 million through eight days. Current weekend projections now stand at $29.5 million as the hit remake remains in contention with Venom for the top spot but will likely take a few more days before it returns there.
First Man opened to $5.86 million on Friday, slightly below forecasts but generally in line with expectations. The strongly reviewed award season candidate was on par with the first days of Bridge of Spies ($5.4 million) and Argo ($5.9 million). Universal expects around $16.8 million for the weekend, while we’re a bit more optimistic about weekend holds.
Goosebumps: Haunted Halloween earned a healthy $4.85 million opening day, putting it on course for a debut in the mid-to-high teen millions (Sony expects $15.75 million). By comparison, the first Goosebumps pic earned $7.35 million on its first day.
Meanwhile, Bad Times at the El Royale earned $2.825 million to start its run yesterday, pacing for a weekend north of $7 million (Fox projects $7.8 million as of this morning). Opening day was comparable to mother!‘s $3.1 million start last fall.
Early weekend estimates are below with updated studio estimates to follow on Sunday.
Early Weekend Estimates (Domestic)
FRI, OCT. 12 – SUN, OCT. 14
WIDE (1000+)
#
TITLE
WEEKEND
LOCATIONS
AVG.
TOTAL
WKS.
DIST.
1
Venom
$32,000,000
-60%
4,250
0
$7,529
$139,102,151
2
Sony / Columbia
2
A Star is Born
$29,500,000
-31%
3,708
22
$7,956
$95,660,360
2
Warner Bros.
3
First Man
$17,000,000
—
3,640
—
$4,670
$17,000,000
1
Universal
4
Goosebumps 2: Haunted Halloween
$16,000,000
—
3,521
—
$4,544
$16,000,000
1
Sony
5
Smallfoot
$9,200,000
-36%
3,606
-525
$2,551
$57,508,221
3
Warner Bros.
6
Night School
$7,700,000
-38%
2,780
-239
$2,770
$59,508,950
3
Universal
7
Bad Times At The El Royale
$7,400,000
—
2,808
—
$2,635
$7,400,000
1
20th Century Fox
8
The House With A Clock In Its Walls
$3,900,000
-47%
2,791
-672
$1,397
$62,175,500
4
Universal Pictures
9
A Simple Favor
$1,300,000
-62%
1,452
-956
$895
$51,957,508
5
Lionsgate
10
The Nun
$1,300,000
-52%
1,174
-1090
$1,107
$115,855,046
6
Warner Bros.
LIMITED (100 — 999)
#
TITLE
WEEKEND
LOCATIONS
AVG.
TOTAL
WKS.
DIST.
1
The Hate U Give
$1,550,000
203%
248
212
$6,250
$2,262,314
2
20th Century Fox
2
Crazy Rich Asians
$1,100,000
-49%
738
-728
$1,491
$171,389,368
9
Warner Bros.
3
The Old Man & The Gun
$1,000,000
148%
228
179
$4,386
$1,784,924
3
Fox Searchlight
4
Incredibles 2
$280,000
0%
194
-50
$1,443
$607,542,593
18
Disney
5
The Sisters Brothers
$260,000
28%
129
75
$2,016
$1,072,484
4
Annapurna Pictures
6
The Predator
$195,000
-79%
376
-1267
$519
$50,684,921
5
Fox
7
Disney’s Christopher Robin
$180,000
-59%
465
-1173
$387
$98,631,444
11
Disney
8
Mission: Impossible – Fallout
$165,000
-49%
221
-140
$747
$220,095,330
12
Paramount
9
Ant-Man and the Wasp
$90,000
-33%
132
-46
$682
$216,519,940
15
Disney
PLATFORM (1 — 99)
#
TITLE
WEEKEND
LOCATIONS
AVG.
TOTAL
WKS.
DIST.
1
Jane and Emma
$150,000
—
21
—
$7,143
$150,000
1
Excel Entertainment / Purdie Distribution
2
Bigger
$30,000
—
61
—
$492
$30,000
1
Freestyle Releasing
3
God Bless the Broken Road
$8,700
-61%
53
0
$164
$2,837,347
6
Freestyle Releasing
4
A.X.L.
$5,161
-77%
25
-30
$206
$5,161
8
Global Road Entertainment
===
Friday Report: Universal’s First Man earned a solid $1.1 million from last night’s first shows beginning at 7pm in 2,850 locations. That comes in 28 percent ahead of Deepwater Horizon ($860K), 18 percent behind Sully ($1.35 million), and 120 percent ahead of Bridge of Spies ($500K). As a film likely to generate healthy walk-up business from an older audience, this start bodes well for an opening weekend on target with expectations in the high teen millions to low $20 million range.
Goosebumps: Haunted Halloween brought in $750K for Sony last night, 11 percent behind The House With A Clock In Its Walls ($840K) and 25 percent ahead of the first Goosebumps ($600K). As a sequel with shows beginning at 5pm, it could be more front-loaded than either of those comps, but this is a healthy start nonetheless.
Fox reports that Bad Times at the El Royale took in $575K last night. That figure comes in identical to White Boy Rick ($575K), 18 percent behind mother! ($700K), and 33 percent behind Crimson Peak ($860K).
Among holdovers, A Star Is Born added $4.515 million for another excellent drop of just 2 percent from Wednesday. With $66.16 million in the domestic bank thus far, the word-of-mouth phenom is building a strong case for a run toward the first place crown this weekend against Venom.
Follow us for continued updates.
The post Weekend Estimates: ‘Venom’ Stands Ground ($32M+); ‘A Star Is Born’ Holds Strong ($29M+); ‘First Man’ ($16.5M+) Leads ‘Goosebumps 2’ ($16M) & ‘Bad Times’ ($7.4M) appeared first on BoxOffice Pro.
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